Saturday, March 31, 2012

The Final Four


The NCAA Basketball Tournament may be the most unpredictable event in the world of sports.  This is reason behind March Madness and why filling out the brackets is so much fun.  This year was no exception to the rule.  If anything it was an even stranger year than normal.

The opening weekend was especially unkind to our household.  My wife’s Alma Mater, UConn, was picked apart by Iowa State.  Then my favorite, Missouri, decided to see if they could win a game by just stepping on the floor and lost to Norfolk State in the biggest upset in the tournament.  A few hours after that my co-writer’s favorite team, Duke, became the second No. 2 seed to have an early exit, with the loss to Lehigh.

Then there were the injuries and suspensions that took out two of the number one seeds and potential favorites.  Syracuse was able to survive a couple rounds without the academically ineligible, Fab Melo.  But the lack of inside depth came to haunt them in the Elite 8.  Likewise, North Carolina was able to get by without  power forward John Henson in the opening round, but once they lost point guard, Kendall Marshall, they became an easy target in the second week of the tournament.

The other number one that was eliminated early was Michigan State, but they were easily the weakest of the number one seeds .

So that leads us to the Final Four.  Kentucky, Louisville, Ohio State and Kansas.  Louisville and Kansas were two teams that could’ve had first round upsets and no one would’ve been surprised.   Ohio State has sort of been under the radar, though they really haven’t  played anyone, except the short-handed Syracuse, in the Elite 8.

Of the final four, Kentucky looks to be the strongest team.  Their offense looks unstoppable and their defense can be oppressive.  They did give up 90 points to a very tough Indiana team, but they made Baylor look awful.  Kentucky does have a lot of freshmen, who will likely be in the NBA next year.  Plus their semi-final game is against in-state rival Louisville. 

Realistically, any of these teams could win it all this year.  All four have solid players and top-tier coaches and just as many weaknesses as the other four teams.

Just to show how unpredictable this year has been, my sister, Heidi, who watches less college basketball than my dog, was the only person in the family pool to pick all four final four teams.  Oh, and the only person in the family that can beat my sister is her 3-year old daughter.

~Brad